NHL Tuesday player props: Hughes to fire at home
We hit our lone player prop Monday night, successfully backing Mikko Rantanen to record an assist at plus money. We'll look to build on that with three more plays for Tuesday night's 12-game slate.
Jack Hughes over 3.5 shots (-120)
Hughes is one of the hottest shooters in the league, especially when playing on home ice. The Devils' young superstar recorded four shots or more in nine of his last 10 games in New Jersey, falling one shy in the lone exception. Hughes attempted seven shots in that game and missed the target on four occasions, so it very easily could've been another hit.
Although a date with the Lightning hardly seems ideal on the surface, Tampa Bay has gone through some issues defensively of late. The Lightning are especially bad on the road, allowing five-on-five shots on goal at a higher rate than all but the Ducks and Blackhawks over their last 10 games.
Hughes has the ability to get the job done against any opponent. He hit the over against the Rangers, Golden Knights, Kings, Maple Leafs, and Hurricanes during this hot streak at home.
With the Lightning laboring defensively and Hughes set to get advantageous matchups, I expect he'll get the job done once again.
Kris Letang over 2.5 shots (-115)
Letang hasn't been a frequent target this year, but his recent numbers have certainly caught my attention.
He registered three shots or more in seven of the past 10 games, and seven of the last nine when playing in Pittsburgh. His volume at home, in particular, has been nothing short of remarkable. Letang averaged 8.22 shot attempts per game over the past nine home dates.
Tonight, Letang finds himself in a juicy spot against the Canadiens, a bad defensive team at the best of times. Now they're playing in a road back-to-back against a Penguins side in the thick of a heated playoff race.
When playing on the road, only the Ducks conceded shots at a higher rate than the Canadiens over the last 10. They're giving up a ton of volume, and Letang - the Penguins' leading shot generator of late - figures to be the prime beneficiary.
Miro Heiskanen over 2.5 shots (-132)
Heiskanen is quickly becoming one of my favourite blue-liners to back. It doesn't seem to matter who he's up against or, more recently, whether he's at home or on the road. He simply gets the job done.
The Stars defenseman just completed a two-game set against a low-event, stingy defensive team in the Kraken. He generated 12 attempts over that span while hitting the over each time out.
Normally not as efficient on the road, Heiskanen quietly generated at least five attempts in nine of his last 10 away from home. That seems to be his magic number - Heiskanen owns a 37-8 record (82% hit rate) when attempting five shots or more this season.
The Canucks have given up a little more volume of late and been a below-average team in limiting shots to defensemen over the past 10 games.
Even in a back-to-back, Heiskanen stands out as someone worth backing.
Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. Be sure to follow him on Twitter @ToddCordell.