MNF player props: Best bets for Ravens-Rams
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Week 12 of the NFL season wraps up Monday night when the Baltimore Ravens head west to take on the Los Angeles Rams. Here are the best player props for the prime-time tilt, beginning with someone who bettors should be buying low on.
Jared Goff over 250.5 passing yards
There have been times this season when Goff looked awful. The Rams' offensive line has been ravaged by injuries and it's clear the fourth-year quarterback is struggling to deal with constant pressure in the pocket.
We've seen Goff have rough games against the San Francisco 49ers (No. 1 in adjusted sack rate), Pittsburgh Steelers (No. 2), Carolina Panthers (No. 3), and Cleveland Browns (No. 5). All four of those contests featured the Rams as the visitors, and the signal-caller's problems away from Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum are well-documented.
Now, Goff and Co. have a chance to move the ball Monday at home against a Ravens front seven that is No. 24 in adjusted sack rate. The quarterback has averaged an earth-shattering 397.8 passing yards per contest with seven total touchdowns against four interceptions in four games this year against teams that rank in the bottom 10 in that department.
I think we'll see the good Goff show up Monday night.
Mark Ingram under 53.5 rushing yards
Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson will likely still have success running the ball on the edges, but I don't love the matchup for Ingram.
The Rams are No. 3 in the league in rush defense DVOA and have allowed three yards or fewer per carry to running backs in four of their last five games. They're also pacing the NFL in explosive rush rate allowed, so Ingram will need a high volume to get over the total. Unfortunately, the veteran has experienced a slight dip in usage of late.
Ingram is averaging 12.4 carries per game in his last five contests compared to 14.8 in the opening five. He's gotten more than 13 carries just once during those last five games after eclipsing that number in three of his first five. It's no coincidence that he went over 53 yards on the ground just once from Weeks 6 to 11.
Gerald Everett longest reception over 12.5 yards
The Ravens are the No. 3 pass defense DVOA in the NFL but are prone to giving up big plays, as suggested by their No. 18 ranking in explosive pass rate allowed. They've managed to surrender fewer than 40 yards to opposing tight ends in each of the last six, but most of the damage comes from a single pass.
Baltimore has allowed a catch of at least 13 yards to an opposing tight end in all but one game this season. There could be a splash play in this one for Everett, who's had a long of 13 or more in five of his last seven outings.
Alex Kolodziej is a betting writer for theScore. He's a graduate of Eastern Illinois who has been involved in the sports betting industry for 12 years. He can quote every line from "Rounders" and appreciates franchises that regularly wear alternate jerseys. Find him on Twitter @AJKolodziej.