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CFB Week 14 best bets: Lay the hammer on Florida

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We threw up a dud last weekend, going just 1-3 in our best bets. We're above .500 but still need a couple more wins to get back into the green.

Here are the best bets for Week 14.

Texas A&M @ Auburn (+6.5, 48.5), 12:00 p.m. ET

We examined this total earlier in the week. Both Texas A&M and Auburn are trending under, and it's safe to go back to the well here.

The Aggies have gone under the total in five straight as road favorites. The Tigers, meanwhile, have cashed five straight unders overall.

Pick: Under 48.5

Oklahoma State @ TCU (+1, 51.5), 12:00 p.m.

This is a low total for an Oklahoma State-TCU tilt, but it makes sense; both clubs grade out significantly better on the defensive side of the ball.

The Cowboys are 9-1-1 to the under the last 11 December games under head coach Mike Gundy. They also tend to show up following a defensive dud, going 7-2 to the under the last nine after allowing more than 450 total yards.

TCU's Gary Patterson is also prone to unders late in the year, converting eight of the last 10 in December.

Pick: Under 51.5

Florida @ Tennessee (+17.5, 62.5), 3:30 p.m.

Florida isn't getting tripped up here.

The Gators are rolling behind quarterback and Heisman hopeful Kyle Trask, who's aiming to lead the program to its first College Football Playoff bid. The offense has scored at least 34 points in every game this season and doesn't look like it's slowing down anytime soon.

Tennessee was all hype coming into the year, but there's no chance it gets up for this game. The Volunteers are just 3-9 against the spread the last 12 as home 'dogs and 0-5 ATS the last five at home overall.

Pick: Florida -17.5

Tulsa @ Navy (+12, 47.5), 3:30 p.m.

Tulsa is another road favorite to lay the chalk on.

The advanced metric SP+ has these two teams on opposite ends of the spectrum, slotting Tulsa at No. 40 in the nation and Navy at No. 108.

The Golden Hurricane have covered five of six games this season, and the road team has cashed six of the last seven ATS in this series.

Pick: Tulsa -12

Stanford @ Washington (-11.5, 51), 7:00 p.m.

Will David Shaw ever cover another spread? This is a serious question.

Stanford's head coach hasn't led his team to a cover since last October. He's 0-7-1 ATS the last eight road games, 0-4 the last four as an underdog, and 3-12-1 ATS the last 16 overall.

Washington is 3-0 this season, but all three wins were questionable. The Huskies topped Oregon State in a game they should have lost, beat a pretty so-so Arizona squad, and narrowly edged a retooling Utah team by three.

Shaw has to get one at some point.

Pick: Stanford +11.5

(Odds source: theScore Bet)

2020 betting record: 23-21

Alex Kolodziej is a betting writer for theScore. He's a graduate of Eastern Illinois who has been involved in the sports betting industry for 12 years. He can quote every line from "Rounders" and appreciates franchises that regularly wear alternate jerseys. Find him on Twitter @AJKolodziej.

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