Skip to content

CBB conference tournament round-robin underdog moneyline parlay

Andy Lyons / Getty Images Sport / Getty

From those that brought you the weekly ride that was the NFL round-robin moneyline parlay and the Wild Card Weekend anytime touchdown round-robin parlay, we've got another iteration of a sports betting lottery ticket - the conference tournament Friday round-robin moneyline parlay.

How it works

We parlay five underdogs we like against the spread in 10 different three-team parlays. Using every combination of a three-team parlay is called a round robin. We'll use a total of 1.1 units to make 11 different bets: 10 three-team parlays and one five-team parlay, each .1 unit. You'll likely double your money if three teams pull off the upset. If four teams win, you're connecting on four separate parlays and will be very pleased with the return. If all five teams win, you'll be diving into a silo of gold doubloons like a young Scrooge McDuck.

Who to play

Mississippi State (+270)

Mississippi State looked like it was trying to give away Thursday's game against Florida. The Bulldogs took a double-digit lead early and systematically turned the ball over to the point they found themselves in overtime with the Gators. However, they survived, and it appears that should be enough to get them into the NCAA Tournament.

With some pressure off, Mississippi State should be less tense offensively against Alabama. But as always, the Bulldogs' chances lie on the defensive end. They kept the pace slow against the Gators, and they're capable of that versus the Crimson Tide as they did in their lone meeting this season when Mississippi State gave them all they could handle.

It's Alabama's first game in Nashville - and there's an early tip time. If the team isn't ready for a virtual fistfight, then Mississippi State is live to keep its SEC Tournament run going, even if it can already make plans for a party on Selection Sunday.

Missouri (+200)

Tennessee dispatched Ole Miss by double digits Thursday afternoon. But that had more to do with the Rebels' poor play than a particularly inspiring performance from the Volunteers.

Missouri shouldn't fear Tennessee, having won the lone matchup in Knoxville. While that was on a buzzer-beating 3-pointer, that victory was no fluke, as the Tigers were up by as many as 14 in the second half. Most encouragingly, Missouri scored 86 points that day. No other Vols' opponent has gotten into the 80s this season.

From a metric standpoint, Missouri falls just shy of Tennessee. But like the first meeting, that was a Volunteers team with point guard Zakai Zeigler.

Oregon (+215)

It's Dana Altman SZN. The Oregon coach has made a career of getting the most out of his teams late in the season, and Oregon needs this game to at least submit a case to the selection committee. A Pac-12 Tournament win would mean the Ducks don't even have to bother making a case.

Of course, just because Oregon needs the win, it doesn't mean the program will get it. The Ducks will have to take advantage of UCLA missing its best defender in Jaylen Clark. They can do that with an offense made up of a much higher percentage of threes and layups than the Bruins - who make it work largely in the mid-range.

UCLA survived Colorado on Thursday. If you ask Buffaloes coach Tad Boyle about the game, he might suggest the Bruins got help from a friendly whistle. That shouldn't happen again versus the Ducks, who can match up well with UCLA.

Central Florida (+167)

After Memphis almost took down No. 1 Houston on Sunday - only to lose at the buzzer - there might be an assumption that the two AAC teams securely in the NCAA Tournament are on a collision course for a third game. However, Central Florida is a tough first matchup for the Tigers in Fort Worth. The programs' ShotQuality offenses are even. And while Memphis is stronger defensively, Central Florida is better at getting looks from three and at the rim.

More interestingly, both of their matchups have been knockdown and drag-out affairs. First, there was UCF's double-overtime 107-104 victory. Then the Tigers made a game-winning layup in Memphis after the Knights crawled back from 13 points down in the second half to take a lead. Another thriller might be on the docket Friday. If it is, +167 is a great price for a coin-flip game.

San Jose State (+350)

It's almost sacrilege to suggest San Diego State might not make the Mountain West championship game. But having issues with Colorado State in the quarterfinal suggests the Aztecs aren't infallible.

With an efficient offense that attempts a high percentage of threes and layups, we circled the Spartans and star scorer Omari Moore as a potential problem for those on the bubble in the Mountain West. Sure enough, they sent Nevada home without a ticket to the NCAA Tournament.

San Diego State is safely into the Big Dance, but that might be the problem. A lack of urgency might lead to an upset Friday night.

Here's how the odds look for Friday:

PARLAY ODDS (Approx.)
MST+MIZ+UCF +2800
MST+MIZ+ORE +3400
MST+MIZ+SJSU +4400
MST+UCF+ORE +3000
MST+UCF+SJSU +3900
MST+ORE+SJSU +4700
MIZ+UCF+ORE +2400
MIZ+UCF+SJSU +3100
MIZ+ORE+SJSU +3700
UCF+ORE+SJSU +3300
MSU+MIZ+UCF+ORE+SJSU +33800
 

Matt Russell is a betting writer for theScore. If there's a bad beat to be had, Matt will find it. Find him on Twitter @mrussauthentic.

Daily Newsletter

Get the latest trending sports news daily in your inbox