NBA Draft over/unders: Bet Giddey, fade Ayayi
The NBA Draft over/under market can be profitable if you know where prospects are trending.
Numbers have been out for weeks now on a laundry list of draft hopefuls, from top-10 picks to second-round depth fillers. The name of the game is simple: Oddsmakers list the draft position (9.5, 10.5, etc.) for a prospect, and bettors can wager whether they'll be picked before (under) or after (over) said spot.
Let's take a look at these props and see where the value lies.
NBA Draft spot Over/Unders
These are four numbers I'd currently bet, beginning with the lowest-projected prospect.
Jonathan Kuminga over 6.5 (-130)
Kuminga made a late surge, but I don't think he'll go off the board within the first six picks.
Cade Cunningham, Jalen Green, and then Evan Mobley should hear their names called in that order Thursday. But with prospects such as Scottie Barnes, James Bouknight, and others gaining more traction, Kuminga's now a fade.
Josh Giddey under 10.5 (-200)
Giddey opened as a fringe lottery pick, which looks more and more inevitable as the clock winds down. The 18-year-old won 2021 NBL Rookie of the Year, leading the Australian league with 7.6 assists per contest.
The Aussie point guard's young, versatile, and a great modern-day fit in the NBA. Don't be surprised if Giddey's off the board as early as No. 7 to the Warriors.
Tre Mann over 24.5 (-180)
A team has to really love Mann for him to go before 24.
Joel Ayayi over 40.5 (-125)
Ayayi opened 30.5 and has moved a whopping 10 spots - and that number's still too low.
The French shooting guard was a cog on last year's Gonzaga squad, but he might struggle to carry traits over to the pros. Ayayi won't beat many defenders off the dribble, and he only averaged a mere 1.5 free-throw attempts during his collegiate career.
I'm not sure the upside's there to pick Ayayi inside the top 40.
Alex Kolodziej is a betting writer for theScore. Find him on Twitter @AjKolodziej.
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